Supply Chain & Tariff Update | Q1 2025

Welcome to the first quarterly Supply Chain & Tariff Update, presented by Steptoe & Johnson attorney Randy Whitlatch.

Content Highlights:


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Case Updates & Takeaways

(organized by month)

January 2025

Takeaway: Companies should take care to train executives and other employees on how to responsibly discuss supply chain management capabilities with investors and the public.

Takeaway: Companies should take care when deciding whether and to what degree it will incorporate ESG investing into its business practices, particularly where fiduciary duties to shareholders or others are involved.

Takeaway: This case is worth reading to understand how courts may determine when a forecast becomes a firm order. Companies should take care to be specific about what forecasts represent and should also take care to understand that trade usage, course of performance, and course of dealing can impact what the plain and unambiguous language of a contract means under the UCC. Ambiguity is not necessarily required for courts to admit this sort of evidence under the UCC, which is why it is important to train front-line procurement and sales professionals on contractual terms and company expectations.

Takeaway: Companies hoping for the most accurate tariff treatment should take care to maintain clear records demonstrating the intended and actual use of imported components and should expect Customs and Border Patrol officials to take a strict approach leaning toward higher tariffs in the near term.

February 2025

Takeaway: While the main takeaway from this case is that companies should take care to promptly pay under their supply chain financing agreements, this case provides a look at how supply chain financing agreements may operate for those who wish to learn more.

Takeaway: Even though the court dismissed the Complaint due to lack of standing, companies should still take care to thoroughly vet the veracity of environmental and sustainability claims made in marketing and advertising materials.

March 2025

Takeaway: Companies should take care to arrange supply chains to avoid conflict minerals and to promptly take concrete remedial measures in response to OFAC listings.

Takeaway: Companies should understand that their supply chain is incredibly valuable, and competitors may seek to compete by defaming a company’s supply chain.

Takeaway: Companies must take care to ensure contracts contain clear force majeure provisions, that all communications around force majeure are consistent and truthful, and that conditions of force majeure are truly met.

Takeaway: Companies should take care to train executives and others in a position to make public statements on how to responsibly discuss the company’s supply chain.

Takeaway: Companies should understand that greenwashing claims brought under the DCCPPA in this fashion, according to the court’s own words, will almost certainly never qualify for federal jurisdiction.

Takeaway: Despite the dismissal in this case, companies should take care when entering into supply agreements and when conducting supply chain ESG audits to follow the mandates of the TVPRA.

Takeaway: Companies should dig deeper into the supply chain to harmonize supply agreements with customer contracts and suppliers’ procurement contracts as well as train front-line supply chain employees on key contract terms including the bounds of their authority to alter any contract terms.

Takeaway: Companies should evaluate supply chain and distribution strategies with an eye toward local regulation, understanding that state-imposed supply chain structure and restrictions may be challenged under state and federal constitutions.

Takeaway: Ccompanies should take care when relying on Conflicts of Interest or Code of Conduct policies in stopping performance under supply contracts.

Takeaway: Even though this case was time-barred, companies should take care to assess any automated supply chain management software and other procurement practices under pertinent antitrust and unfair trade practices laws.

Legislation Updates

U.S./North America

European Union

United States Tariffs

President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, enacted during his second term, represent a significant shift in U.S. trade strategy, aiming to bolster domestic industries and reduce trade deficits. However, these measures have sparked global tensions and domestic economic concerns and have roiled supply chains.

Key Tariff Measures:

Supply Chain Effects:

While it is impossible to know just how the current tariff measures will unfold or exactly how they will affect global supply chains, one can make certain predictions based on what happened following the tariffs implemented during Trump’s first administration.

  1. Possible Supply Chain Reconfiguration

    Diversification Away from China:
    Many companies began shifting parts of their supply chains out of China to avoid tariffs. Countries like Vietnam, Mexico, and India saw increased manufacturing activity. Of course, considering the prospective reciprocal tariffs on countries like Vietnam and India, it is unclear whether those or other countries could see increased activity this time around.

Nearshoring and Reshoring: Some U.S. companies started bringing production closer to home or back to the U.S. to reduce reliance on global suppliers and minimize tariff costs. While this could happen in some industries because of the 2025 tariffs, the extent remains unclear. Certain businesses and industries, particularly those that have invested significant amounts of money in setting up global supply chains and whose supply chains could take significant time or investment to rewire, may simply take a wait and see approach and try to survive until this or another administration employs a different policy. Certainly, to the degree businesses in whatever industry can quickly and relatively cheaply obtain inputs domestically in the short term, i.e., save money by nearshoring or reshoring low-hanging fruit, they may well do so.

  1. Almost Certainly Increased Costs

    Higher Input Prices:
    U.S. companies importing raw materials or components (like steel, aluminum, and electronics) faced higher costs, which were often passed on to consumers, whether they were other businesses in the supply chain or actual end customers. The feasibility of shifting these costs will depend on each individual business’s procurement and sales contract terms, the strength of a business’ relationships within its supply chains, and possibly the severity of the net economic effect of the tariffs on a particular product or business. Any measures companies take to mitigate higher input prices should likely be taken only after consulting legal counsel.

Complex Logistics: Companies had to navigate new sourcing strategies, increasing administrative burdens and compliance costs. Whether logistics strategies will change significantly in response to the 2025 tariffs remains to be seen; however, they will likely change to the degree that significant geographic, or supplier diversification, resourcing, nearshoring, or reshoring take place.

  1. Potential Retaliation and Uncertainty

    Trade Wars:
    Countries targeted by U.S. tariffs, especially China, retaliated with their own tariffs on U.S. goods, affecting industries like agriculture and automotive. This could occur in 2025, and there are signs indicating this may even be likely.

Business Uncertainty: The unpredictability of tariff announcements in 2018 led to hesitation in long-term investment and planning, disrupting supply chain decision-making. This very well could take place in many if not most sectors.

  1. Inventory and Stockpiling

    Stockpiling Ahead of Tariffs:
    Some firms bulked up inventory ahead of tariff deadlines, leading to temporary supply chain bottlenecks. This could certainly happen in response to the 2025 tariffs, particularly with a purported 90-day delay for reciprocal tariffs and potential for continued escalation. In fact, this could spur suppliers in tiered chains to demand so-called expedite fees or to otherwise demand additional money to perform contractual obligations. Suppliers could be tempted to go along to minimize supply chain disruptions. This activity could cause shortages and scarcity in other spots within supply chains. Again, the answer lies in commercial contracts, and companies should be prepared and consult with legal counsel to best be able to respond.

Shift in Inventory Strategies: In 2018 and following COVID-19, just-in-time models were re-evaluated in favor of more resilient strategies, like increasing buffer stocks. Companies may explore other strategies again, but it will depend on how these tariffs continue to unfold. There is simply too much uncertainty to make any predictions on this point currently.

  1. Strategic Supply Chain Shifts

    Focus on Resilience:
    The tariffs (and later the COVID-19 pandemic) accelerated a shift from purely cost-driven supply chains to ones that prioritize resilience and flexibility. It is safe to predict that this will be a consequence of the 2025 tariffs as well. In fact, companies may choose to partner with legal counsel to attempt to rethink traditional procurement and sales contracts to promote this sort of resilience and flexibility.

Digitalization and Transparency: Likewise, companies invested more in supply chain tech to track, trace, and manage disruptions better. It is safe to presume that companies will “double down” on digitalization and transparency to be more resilient and flexible. Of course, any measures companies take to mitigate higher input prices should likely be taken only after consulting legal counsel.

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